GBP/JPY Channel Result & Taking Profit

Posted January 21st, 2008 in Trading Desk by Ryan O'Keefe

Last week I pointed out a sell trade on the GBP/JPY opportunity and the trade is about to reach our profit target. This short sell was a wild ride on Friday but managed to bring in over 400 pips in two business days! You just have to love the volatility of this pair!

I hope you were able to hitch a ride on this one!

Ryan

USD/CHF Channel Sell Update

Posted January 18th, 2008 in Trading Desk by Ryan O'Keefe

Quick update on the channel sell I posted earlier this morning. If you got short this morning, I would consider moving your stops to break even now or taking some profit ahead of the Consumer Confidence report due out in 50 minutes.

If USD/CHF breaks below $1.0975 I full expect this pair to run to the bottom of the channel but best to protect some profit now.

Best of luck,
::Ryan

GBP/JPY Channel Selling Idea

Posted January 18th, 2008 in Trading Desk by Ryan O'Keefe

The dragon lady has been on a freefall over the last three weeks! Support appears to have been found around $207 on the weekly chart but the pair is trending in a descending channel on the hourly which sets up this potential short trade. I think as long as the carry trade continues to implode and risk packs up its things and runs from the stock market GBP/JPY will continue to sell off and probe $207 again sometime next week.

Good luck and remember GBP/JPY is a volatile pair and usually requires larger stops for room to maneuver so if you don’t have the risk capital, stay away.

::Ryan

USD/CHF Channel Sell Trade Idea

Posted January 18th, 2008 in Trading Desk by Ryan O'Keefe

I like this descending channel sell trade setup USD/CHF is presenting this morning. I’d prefer to sell this pair with the channel following a clear candlestick pattern near the top of the channel. What kind of candlestick pattern? I’m so glad you asked! Bearish Engulfing, Doji, or Tombstones would be great!

The other possibility I might consider would be buying a retracement to the top of the channel if the pair breaks out and closes above the channel.

Good luck!

::Ryan

USD/CAD Short Sell Trade

Posted January 15th, 2008 in Trading Desk by Ryan O'Keefe

Good morning everyone! On the back of this morning’s terrible U.S. Retail Sales report I’m getting short USD/CAD at $1.0159. I like this trade setup because of three things:

  1. Dollar is bouncing off of a recent double top high around $1.0220.
  2. Dollar’s Retail Sales were terrible! Consumers aren’t spending, oh no!
  3. We have a nice channel on the hourly chart to target the bottom of, which if it breaks out of this trade could run a long time.
  4. Oil may give us a boost if it climbs, although admittedly I haven’t checked spot oil prices yet.

I like this trade better than the USD/CHF trade I posted yesterday although it is still valid if you want to trade it.

Best of luck!

Ryan

USD/CHF Double Bottom Support Trade

Posted January 14th, 2008 in Trading Desk by Ryan O'Keefe

I’m interested in this double bottom support area on USD/CHF’s daily chart. If you drop down to the hourly chart you’ll see the key support area is at $1.0884 with the double bottom testing $1.0886 and 1.0884. There are a couple of ways I’m looking to trade this double bottom.

  1. If U.S. fundamental data surprises to the upside this week I will buy any reversal candles as close to $1.0880 as possible.
  2. If we see a break below the $1.0880 level, I’ll sell.

Best of luck.

Ryan